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左心房直径对非瓣膜病持续性心房颤动左心房血栓预测价值的研究

Impact of left atrium size on left atrial thrombus in patients with non-valvular persistent atrial fibrillation

摘要:

目的 评价左心房直径对非瓣膜病持续性心房颤动(简称房颤)左心房血栓的预测价值.方法 在前瞻性建立的数据库中,筛选2007年1月至2010年6月拟行房颤导管消融并完成经食管超声检查的房颤患者.排除标准:阵发性房颤、瓣膜病房颤、深静脉血栓、肺栓塞、服用华法林抗凝、多次消融.共筛选1 524例,入选367例,其中男267例,女100例,年龄26 ~ 89岁,平均年龄(56±11)岁.根据食管超声检查将患者分为左心房血栓组和无血栓组,通过受试者工作特征性曲线(ROC)判断CHA2DS2Vasc评分和左心房直径对左心房血栓的预测价值.Logistic多因素分析确定左心房血栓的独立危险因素.结果 左心房血栓32例(8.7%),左心房血栓组左心房直径、左心室舒张末径、左心室收缩末径大于无血栓组,左心房血栓组左心室射血分数低于无血栓组,两组CHA2DS2Vasc评分差异无统计学意义.左心房直径预测左心房血栓ROC曲线下面积为0.656(0.563 ~0.750),其预测左心房血栓的最佳界值为42.5 mm.150例左心房直径≥42.5 mm患者血栓发生率14.0%,显著高于左心房直径<42.5 mm患者血栓发生率(5.1%,x2=8.888,P=0.003).单因素分析左心房直径≥42.5 mm增加左心房血栓风险(比值比3.05,95%可信区间1.42 ~6.53,P=0.004).左心房直径≥42.5 mm预测左心房血栓敏感度为67.7%,特异度为61.5%.Logistic多因素分析,校正CHA2DS2Vasc评分、左心室舒张末径、左心室收缩末径、左心室射血分数,左心房直径≥42.5 mm(比值比2.77,95%可信区间1.17 ~6.57,P=0.021)是左心房血栓独立预测因素.结论 左心房增大是非瓣膜病持续性房颤左心房血栓的独立危险因素.

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abstracts:

Objective This study sought to investigate the impact of left atrium size on left atrial (LA) thrombus in patients with non-valvular persistent atrial fibrillation (AF).Methods In a prospectively established database,patients with AF underwent transesophageal echocardiography prior to AF ablation were screened from January 2007 to June 2010.Exclusive criteria included paroxysmal AF,vavular AF,deep vein thrombus,pulmonary embolism,on warfarin,redo procedure.Of 1 524 patients,367 patients (male 267,female 100) with age 26-89 (mean 56 ± 11) were enrolled.The patients were divided into LA thrombus group and non-thrombus group.Receptor-operating curves were used to test the value of CHA2DS2Vasc score and LA diameter predicting LA thrombus.Logistic analysis were used to find the independent predictor of LA thrombus.Results Thirty-two (8.7%) patients had LA thrombus.The LA diameter,left ventricular end diastolic diameter,left ventricular end systolic diameter were significantly larger in thrombus group than non-thrombus group.Left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly lower in thrombus group than non-thrombus group.CHA2DS2Vasc score did not differ between the two groups.The area under the receptor-operating curve for LA diameter predicting LA thrombus was 0.656 (0.563-0.750),the best cut-off point was 42.5 mm.The incidence of LA thrombus was significantly higher in patients with LA diameter ≥42.5 mm than those with LA <42.5 mm (14.0% vs.5.1%,x2 =8.888,P =0.003).In univariate analysis,LA diameter ≥42.5 mm increased the risk of LA thrombus with odds ratio 3.05 (95% confidence interval 1.42-6.53,P =0.004.The sensitivity and specificity of LA diameter ≥ 42.5 mm in predicting LA thrombus were 67.7% and 61.5%,respectively.In multivariate analysis,after adjustment of CHA2DS2Vasc score,left ventricular end diastolic diameter,left ventricular end systolic diameter,left ventricular ejection fraction,LA diameter ≥42.5 mm was an independent risk factor of LA thrombus (odds ratio 2.77,95% confidence interval 1.17-6.57,P =0.021).Conclusion LA enlargement is an independent risk factor of LA thrombus in patients with non-vavular persistent AF.

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作者: 汤日波 [1] 董建增 [1] 尚美生 [1] 杜昕 [1] 闫贤良 [1] 龙德勇 [1] 喻荣辉 [1] 吴嘉慧 [1] 白融 [1]
期刊: 《中华医学杂志》2015年95卷14期 1083-1087页 MEDLINEISTICPKUCSCD
栏目名称: 临床研究
DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0376-2491.2015.14.011
发布时间: 2015-06-05
基金项目:
国家自然科学基金 北京市卫生系统高层次卫生技术人才培养计划 北京市自然科学基金 北京市十百千卫生人才
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