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Transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous population

摘要Objective To review the transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous population.Data sources The data used in this review were adopted mainly from the studies of models of tuberculosis reported from 1995 to 2006.Study selection Relevant literature on transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous populations are referenced.Results Casual/random factors and genetic factors are the main reasons for epidemics of tuberculosis in recent years.Mass public transport is playing the primary role in casually close contact which can facilitate the transmission of tuberculosis. Genetic susceptibility not only varies endemic prevalence levels, but also drastically alters the effects of treatment for tuberculosis patients. Detailed studies further exhibit that casual contact and genetic factor are responsible for over 30%-40% of the total new cases in recent years. The prevalence of tuberculosis could double (from 33% to 60%)if a genetically susceptible phenotype is present in only 30% of the population. And some challenges have emerged along with these exciting results.Conclusions Casual/random contact, public transport and genetic susceptibility are responsible for most new tuberculosis cases and a wide variation in endemic tuberculosis levels between regions. Hence, the transmission model of tuberculosis in a heterogeneous population can provide more clues to underlying mechanism of tuberculosis transmission than in a homogeneous population. However, many challenges remain for us in understanding transmission of disease.

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作者单位 School of InformatioEineering, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China;Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, State Key Laborary of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing 100071, China [1] Institute of Remote Sensing Applications, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China [2] Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, State Key Laborary of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing 100071, China [3]
分类号 R5
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发布时间 2007-09-17(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
基金项目
国家自然科学基金(30590374); the 6th Framework Programme(sp22-ct-2004-003824)
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中华医学杂志(英文版)

中华医学杂志(英文版)

2007年120卷15期

1360-1365页

SCIMEDLINEISTICCSCDCABP

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