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Measuring the predictability of life outcomes with a scientific mass collaboration.

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第一作者: Matthew J,Salganik
第一单位: Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; mjs3@princeton.edu mclanaha@princeton.edu.
作者: Matthew J,Salganik [1] ; Ian,Lundberg [2] ; Alexander T,Kindel [2] ; Caitlin E,Ahearn [3] ; Khaled,Al-Ghoneim [4] ; Abdullah,Almaatouq [5] ; Drew M,Altschul [6] ; Jennie E,Brand [7] ; Nicole Bohme,Carnegie [8] ; Ryan James,Compton [9] ; Debanjan,Datta [10] ; Thomas,Davidson [11] ; Anna,Filippova [12] ; Connor,Gilroy [13] ; Brian J,Goode [14] ; Eaman,Jahani [15] ; Ridhi,Kashyap [16] ; Antje,Kirchner [17] ; Stephen,McKay [18] ; Allison C,Morgan [19] ; Alex,Pentland [20] ; Kivan,Polimis [21] ; Louis,Raes [22] ; Daniel E,Rigobon [23] ; Claudia V,Roberts [24] ; Diana M,Stanescu [25] ; Yoshihiko,Suhara [20] ; Adaner,Usmani [26] ; Erik H,Wang [25] ; Muna,Adem [27] ; Abdulla,Alhajri [28] ; Bedoor,AlShebli [29] ; Redwane,Amin [30] ; Ryan B,Amos [24] ; Lisa P,Argyle [31] ; Livia,Baer-Bositis [32] ; Moritz,Büchi [33] ; Bo-Ryehn,Chung [34] ; William,Eggert [35] ; Gregory,Faletto [36] ; Zhilin,Fan [37] ; Jeremy,Freese [32] ; Tejomay,Gadgil [38] ; Josh,Gagné [32] ; Yue,Gao [39] ; Andrew,Halpern-Manners [27] ; Sonia P,Hashim [24] ; Sonia,Hausen [32] ; Guanhua,He [40] ; Kimberly,Higuera [32] ; Bernie,Hogan [41] ; Ilana M,Horwitz [42] ; Lisa M,Hummel [32] ; Naman,Jain [23] ; Kun,Jin [43] ; David,Jurgens [44] ; Patrick,Kaminski [45] ; Areg,Karapetyan [46] ; E H,Kim [32] ; Ben,Leizman [24] ; Naijia,Liu [25] ; Malte,Möser [24] ; Andrew E,Mack [25] ; Mayank,Mahajan [24] ; Noah,Mandell [47] ; Helge,Marahrens [27] ; Diana,Mercado-Garcia [42] ; Viola,Mocz [48] ; Katariina,Mueller-Gastell [32] ; Ahmed,Musse [49] ; Qiankun,Niu [30] ; William,Nowak [50] ; Hamidreza,Omidvar [51] ; Andrew,Or [24] ; Karen,Ouyang [24] ; Katy M,Pinto [52] ; Ethan,Porter [53] ; Kristin E,Porter [54] ; Crystal,Qian [24] ; Tamkinat,Rauf [32] ; Anahit,Sargsyan [55] ; Thomas,Schaffner [24] ; Landon,Schnabel [32] ; Bryan,Schonfeld [25] ; Ben,Sender [56] ; Jonathan D,Tang [24] ; Emma,Tsurkov [32] ; Austin,van Loon [32] ; Onur,Varol [57] ; Xiafei,Wang [58] ; Zhi,Wang [59] ; Julia,Wang [24] ; Flora,Wang [56] ; Samantha,Weissman [24] ; Kirstie,Whitaker [60] ; Maria K,Wolters [61] ; Wei Lee,Woon [62] ; James,Wu [63] ; Catherine,Wu [24] ; Kengran,Yang [51] ; Jingwen,Yin [37] ; Bingyu,Zhao [64] ; Chenyun,Zhu [37] ; Jeanne,Brooks-Gunn [65] ; Barbara E,Engelhardt [66] ; Moritz,Hardt [67] ; Dean,Knox [25] ; Karen,Levy [68] ; Arvind,Narayanan [24] ; Brandon M,Stewart [2] ; Duncan J,Watts [69] ; Sara,McLanahan [1]
作者单位: Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; mjs3@princeton.edu mclanaha@princeton.edu. [1] Department of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [2] Department of Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095. [3] Hawaz, Riyadh 12363, Saudi Arabia. [4] Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.;Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139. [5] Mental Health Data Science Scotland, Department of Psychology, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9JZ, United Kingdom. [6] Department of Sociology, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.;Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095. [7] Department of Mathematical Sciences, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717. [8] Human Computer Interaction Lab, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064. [9] Discovery Analytics Center, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Arlington, VA 22203. [10] Department of Sociology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853. [11] GitHub, San Francisco, CA 94107. [12] Department of Sociology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105. [13] Social and Decision Analytics Laboratory, Fralin Life Sciences Institute, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Arlington, VA 22203. [14] Institute for Data, Systems and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139. [15] Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 1JD, United Kingdom.;Nuffield College, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 1NF, United Kingdom.;School of Anthropology and Museum Ethnography, University of Oxford, Oxford OX2 6PE, United Kingdom. [16] Program for Research in Survey Methodology, Survey Research Division, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709. [17] School of Social and Political Sciences, University of Lincoln, Brayford Pool, Lincoln LN6 7TS, United Kingdom. [18] Department of Computer Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309. [19] Media Lab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139. [20] Center for the Study of Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105. [21] Department of Economics, Tilburg School of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, 5037 AB Tilburg, The Netherlands. [22] Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [23] Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [24] Department of Politics, Princeton University,Princeton, NJ, 08544. [25] Department of Sociology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138. [26] Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405. [27] Department of Nuclear Science and Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139. [28] Computational Social Science Lab, Social Science Division, New York University Abu Dhabi, 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. [29] Bendheim Center for Finance, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [30] Department of Political Science, Brigham Young University, Provo, UT 84602. [31] Department of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. [32] Department of Communication and Media Research, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, ZH-8050. [33] Center for Statistics & Machine Learning, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [34] Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [35] Statistics Group, Department of Data Sciences and Operations, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089. [36] Department of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027. [37] Center for Data Science, New York University, New York, NY 10011. [38] Department of Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027. [39] Department of Molecular Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [40] Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3JS, United Kingdom. [41] Graduate School of Education, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 94305. [42] Department of Computer Science, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210. [43] School of Information, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48104. [44] Department of Sociology, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.;Center for Complex Networks and Systems Research, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405. [45] Department of Computer Science, Masdar Institute, Khalifa University, 127788 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.;Research Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan. [46] Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [47] Department of Neuroscience, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [48] Department of Electrical Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, 08544. [49] Dataiku, New York, NY 10010. [50] Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [51] Department of Sociology, California State University, Dominguez Hills, Carson, CA 90747. [52] School of Media and Public Affairs, George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052. [53] Center for Data Insights, MDRC, Oakland, CA 94612. [54] Social Science Division, New York University Abu Dhabi, 129188 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. [55] Department of Economics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [56] Center for Complex Network Research, Northeastern University Networks Science Institute, Boston, MA 02115.;Luddy School of Informatics, Computing, & Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408. [57] School of Social Work, David B. Falk College of Sport and Human Dynamics, Syracuse University, NY 13244. [58] Luddy School of Informatics, Computing, & Engineering, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408.;School of Public Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47408. [59] The Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, United Kingdom.;Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 0SZ, United Kingdom. [60] School of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9AB, United Kingdom. [61] Department of Marketplaces & Yield Data Science, Expedia Group, Seattle, WA 98119. [62] Department of the Applied Statistics, Social Science, and Humanities, New York University, New York, NY 10003. [63] Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom. [64] Department of Human Development, Teachers College, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027.;Department of Pediatrics, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032. [65] Department of Computer Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544.;Center for Statistics & Machine Learning, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544. [66] Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720. [67] Department of Information Science, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853. [68] Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.;Annenberg School of Communication, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104.;Operations, Information and Decisions Department, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104. [69]
DOI 10.1073/pnas.1915006117
PMID 32229555
发布时间 2025-05-30
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

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