Long-term trend of future Cancer onset: A model-based prediction of Cancer incidence and onset age by region and gender.

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作者： Chen,Xie ^[1] ; Xiaoting,Huang ^[1] ; Dong,Lin ^[1] ; Xiaojia,Huang ^[1] ; Shen,Lin ^[1] ; Shaohong,Luo ^[1] ; Xiongwei,Xu ^[2] ; Xiuhua,Weng ^[3]

作者单位： Department of Pharmacy, the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350005, China.; Department of Pharmacy, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350212, China. ^[1] Department of Pharmacy, the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350005, China.; Department of Pharmacy, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350212, China.. Electronic address: xxw0409@163.com. ^[2] Department of Pharmacy, the First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350005, China.; Department of Pharmacy, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou 350212, China.. Electronic address: wxh001@fjmu.edu.cn. ^[3]

关键词 Bayesian age-period-cohort model Cancer Global burden of diseases Incidence Onset age Prediction