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Global trends and scenarios for terrestrial biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050.

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作者单位: German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale) 06108, Germany.;BIOPOLIS, CIBIO/InBIO, Universidade do Porto, Vairão 4485-661, Portugal. [1] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale) 06108, Germany.;Leverhulme Centre for Anthropocene Biodiversity, Department of Biology, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK. [2] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale) 06108, Germany.;Kenvue Portugal, JNTL Consumer Health Ltd, Porto Salvo 2740-262, Portugal. [3] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale) 06108, Germany.;UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Lancaster LA1 4AP, UK. [4] Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, AgroParisTech, Gif-sur-Yvette 91190, France. [5] Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany.;Faculty of Organic Agricultural Sciences, University of Kassel, Witzenhausen D-37213, Germany. [6] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague 2500 GH, Netherlands.;Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht 3584 CB, Netherlands. [7] Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA. [8] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Institute of Biology, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale) 06108, Germany. [9] Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology and Climate/Atmospheric Environmental Research, Garmisch-Partenkirchen 82467, Germany. [10] Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome I-00185, Italy.;KBA Secretariat, BirdLife International, Cambridge CB2 3QZ, UK. [11] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague 2500 GH, Netherlands. [12] Global Science, World Wildlife Fund, San Francisco, CA 94105, USA.;Institute on the Environment, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA. [13] Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di Roma, Rome I-00185, Italy. [14] CSIRO Environment, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia. [15] Department of Environmental Engineering, Katsura Campus, Kyoto University, Kyoto-city 615-8540, Japan.;National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan. [16] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Universidade de Coimbra, Coimbra 3004-530, Portugal. [17] United Nations Environment Programme, World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK. [18] CSIRO Environment, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.;Environmental Change Institute, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK. [19] National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan.;Ritsumeikan University, Shiga 525-8577, Japan. [20] International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg 2361, Austria. [21] Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zurich, Zurich 8093, Switzerland. [22] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague 2500 GH, Netherlands.;Radboud University, Radboud Institute for Biological and Environmental Sciences, Nijmegen 6500 GL, Netherlands. [23] United Nations Environment Programme, World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge CB3 0DL, UK.;Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK. [24] Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Forest Research and Management Organization, Ibaraki 305-8687, Japan.;Faculty of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8572, Japan. [25] CSIRO Environment, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.;James Cook University, Townsville, 4811 Queensland, Australia. [26] Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam 14473, Germany. [27] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague 2500 GH, Netherlands.;Netherlands Institute of Ecology NIOO-KNAW, Wageningen 6700AB, Netherlands. [28] Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA.;Center for Biodiversity and Global Change, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511, USA. [29] Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN 55108, USA. [30] Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology and Climate/Atmospheric Environmental Research, Garmisch-Partenkirchen 82467, Germany.;Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Freising 85354, Germany. [31] Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269, USA. [32] Environmental Change Institute, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.;International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg 2361, Austria. [33] Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute, Forest Research and Management Organization, Ibaraki 305-8687, Japan. [34] Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK. [35] Biospheric Sciences Laboratory, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. [36] Department of Life Sciences, Natural History Museum, London SW7 5BD, UK.;Department of Life Sciences, Imperial College London, Ascot SL5 7PY, UK. [37] Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology and Climate/Atmospheric Environmental Research, Garmisch-Partenkirchen 82467, Germany.;"Interactions Climate-Ecosystems (ICE)" Research Group, Earth System Science Program, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Universidad del Rosario, Bogotá DC 63B-48, Colombia​. [38] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Department of Conservation Biology and Social-Ecological Systems, Halle 06210, Germany.;Institute of Biological Sciences, University of the Philippines, Laguna 4031, Philippines. [39] Global Science, World Wildlife Fund, San Francisco, CA 94105, USA. [40] re.green, Rio de Janeiro 22470-060, Brazil.;Rio Conservation and Sustainability Science Centre, Department of Geography and the Environment, Pontifícia Universidade Católica, Rio de Janeiro 22451-900, Brazil. [41] National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki 305-8506, Japan. [42] Department of Ecology, University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck 6020, Austria. [43] Université Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, LECA, Laboratoire d'Écologie Alpine, Grenoble F-38000, France. [44] German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig 04103, Germany.;Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Department of Conservation Biology and Social-Ecological Systems, Halle 06210, Germany.;Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Environmental Research and Innovation Department, Observatory for Climate, Environment and Biodiversity, Belvaux 4422, Luxembourg. [45] International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg 2361, Austria.;Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Environmental Research and Innovation Department, Observatory for Climate, Environment and Biodiversity, Belvaux 4422, Luxembourg.;Centre for Biodiversity and Environment Research, University College London, London C1E6BT, UK. [46] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Hague 2500 GH, Netherlands.;Earth System and Global Change Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen 6708PB Netherlands. [47]
DOI 10.1126/science.adn3441
PMID 38662818
发布时间 2024-09-30
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