A generalised catalytic model to assess changes in risk for multiple reinfections with SARS-CoV-2.

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作者： Belinda,Lombard ^[1] ; Cheryl,Cohen ^[2] ; Anne,von Gottberg ^[3] ; Jonathan,Dushoff ^[4] ; Juliet R C,Pulliam ^[1] ; Cari,van Schalkwyk ^[1]

作者单位： South African DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa. ^[1] Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.;School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. ^[2] Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases, a division of the National Health Laboratory Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.;School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. ^[3] South African DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis (SACEMA), Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.;Department of Biology, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. ^[4]

主题词人类(Humans);贝叶斯定理(Bayes Theorem);疾病大流行(Pandemics);计算机模拟(Computer Simulation);危险性评估(Risk Assessment)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0315476

PMID 39746096

发布时间 2025-01-05

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