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Global Burden of Cardiovascular Disease Attributable to High Temperature in 204 Countries and Territories from 1990 to 2019

摘要Objective This study aimed to estimate spatiotemporal variations of global heat-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden from 1990 to 2019. Methods Data on the burden of heat-related CVD were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to quantify heat-induced CVD burden. We calculated the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and DALY rate (ASDR) per 100,000 population to compare this burden across regions. Generalized linear models were applied to evaluate estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) for temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. The correlation between the socio-demographic index (SDI) and age-standardized rate was measured using the Spearman rank test. Results Heat-induced CVD caused approximately 90 thousand deaths worldwide in 2019. Global ASMR and ASDR of heat-related CVD in 2019 were 1.17 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.13–1.98] and 25.59 (95% CI: 2.07–44.17) per 100,000 population, respectively. The burden was significantly increased in middle and low-SDI regions and slightly decreased in high-SDI regions from 1990 to 2019. ASMR showed an upward trend, with the most considerable increase in low-latitude countries. We observed a negative correlation between SDI and EAPC in ASMR (rs = ?0.57, P < 0.01) and ASDR (rs = ?0.59, P < 0.01) among 204 countries. Conclusion Heat-attributable CVD burden substantially increased in most developing countries and tropical regions.

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作者 HONG Le [1] YAN Miao Miao [1] ZHANG Yun Quan [1] WANG Kai [1] WANG Ya Qi [1] LUO Si Qi [1] WANG Fang [2] 学术成果认领
作者单位 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics,School of Public Health,Wuhan University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430065,Hubei,China [1] Department of Biostatistics,School of Public Health,Xuzhou of Experimental,Xuzhou 221004,Jiangsu,China [2]
栏目名称 Original Articles
DOI 10.3967/bes2023.025
发布时间 2023-04-14
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生物医学与环境科学(英文版)

生物医学与环境科学(英文版)

2023年36卷3期

222-230,中插1-中插2页

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