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Independent and Interactive Effects of Air Pollutants,Meteorological Factors,and Green Space on Tuberculosis Incidence in Shanghai

摘要Objective To assess the independent and combined effects of air pollutants,meteorological factors,and greenspace exposure on new tuberculosis(TB)cases.Methods TB case data from Shanghai(2013-2018)were obtained from the Shanghai Center for Disease Control and Prevention.Environmental data on air pollutants,meteorological variables,and greenspace exposure were obtained from the National Tibetan Plateau Data Center.We employed a distributed-lag nonlinear model to assess the effects of these environmental factors on TB cases.Results Increased TB risk was linked to PM2.5,PM10,and rainfall,whereas NO2,SO2,and air pressure were associated with a reduced risk.Specifically,the strongest cumulative effects occurred at various lags:PM2.5(RR=1.166,95%CI:1.026-1.325)at 0-19 weeks;PM10(RR=1.167,95%CI:1.028-1.324)at 0-18 weeks;NO2(RR=0.968,95%CI:0.938-0.999)at 0-1 weeks;SO2(RR=0.945,95%CI:0.894-0.999)at 0-2 weeks;air pressure(RR=0.604,95%CI:0.447-0.816)at 0-8 weeks;and rainfall(RR=1.404,95%CI:1.076-1.833)at 0-22 weeks.Green space exposure did not significantly impact TB cases.Additionally,low temperatures amplified the effect of PM2.5 on TB.Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5,PM10,and rainfall increased the risk of TB,highlighting the need to address air pollutants for the prevention of TB in Shanghai.

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作者 Qi Ye [1] Jing Chen [2] Yating Ji [1] Xiaoyu Lu [1] Jiale Deng [1] Nan Li [1] Wei Wei [1] Renjie Hou [1] Zhiyuan Li [1] Jianbang Xiang [1] Xu Gao [3] Xin Shen [2] Chongguang Yang [4] 学术成果认领
作者单位 School of Public Health(Shenzhen),Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbes and Biosafety,Shenzhen Campus of Sun Yat-Sen University,Shenzhen 518107,Guangdong,China [1] Division of TB and HIV/AIDS Prevention,Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Shanghai 200336,China [2] Department of Occupational and Environmental Health Sciences,School of Public Health,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China [3] School of Public Health(Shenzhen),Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Pathogenic Microbes and Biosafety,Shenzhen Campus of Sun Yat-Sen University,Shenzhen 518107,Guangdong,China;Guangdong Provincial Highly Pathogenic Microorganism Science Data Center,Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou 510080,Guangdong,China [4]
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DOI 10.3967/bes2025.041
发布时间 2025-08-21(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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