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Short-term Ozone Exposure and Its Impact on Mortality Risk from Circulatory System Diseases:A Comparative Analysis Based on Multi-source Data

摘要Objective Ozone pollution significantly impacts public health;however,inconsistent exposure assessment data introduce uncertainty to health risk evaluations.The accurate assessment of health risks and disease burden is essential to protecting public health and formulating effective control strategies.Methods This study used a generalized linear model to compare health risks and disease burdens assessed using three ozone datasets(CNEMC,TAP,and USTC)based on circulatory system disease mortality data from 199 Chinese counties(2014-2018).Results The impact of ozone exposure on the risk of death from circulatory system diseases was most significant at lag03.In the CNEMC dataset,a 10 μg/m3 increase in O3-MAD8 was associated with a 0.14%(95%CI:0.01%—0.26%)increase in the risk of death.In contrast,the risk estimates for TAP and USTC were 0.26%(95%CI:0.10%—0.42%)and 0.23%(95%CI:0.09%—0.37%),respectively,indicating a difference of up to 46%.The estimated annual attributable deaths by TAP and USTC were 1.96 and 1.85 times higher than those in the CNEMC dataset,respectively.Conclusion Ozone exposure was associated with increased circulatory system disease mortality.Both risk estimates and attributable mortality burdens varied substantially across different datasets,thus highlighting that exposure data selection can materially influence health risk evaluation.

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作者单位 National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;Hebei Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety,School of Public Health,Hebei University,Baoding 071002,Hebei,China [1] National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;School of Environmental Science and Engineering,Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology,Nanjing 210044,Jiangsu,China [2] Institute of Urban Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Xiamen 361021,Fujian,China [3] Department of Environmental Medicine,Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai,New York,NY,USA [4] National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory of Meteorological Medicine and Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China;China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health,National Institute of Environmental Health,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100021,China [5] Department of Precision Machinery and Precision Instrumentation,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,Anhui,China [6]
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DOI 10.3967/bes2026.036
发布时间 2026-06-08(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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