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A novel nomogram based on routine clinical indicators for screening for Wilson's disease

摘要Background and aims:There is currently no single model for predicting Wilson's disease(WD).We aimed to create a nomogram using daily clinical parameters to improve the accuracy of WD diagnosis in pa-tients with abnormal liver function.Methods:Between July 2016 and December 2020,we identified 90 WD patients with abnormal liver function who had homozygous or compound heterozygous mutations in the ATP7B gene.The control group included 128 patients with similar liver function but no WD during the same time period.To create a nomogram.we screened potential predictive variables using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model and multivariate logistic regression.Results:We developed a nomogram for screening for WD based on six predictive factors:serum copper,direct bilirubin,uric acid,cholinesterase,prealbumin,and reticulocyte percentage.In the training cohort,the area under curve(AUC)of the nomogram reached 0.967(95%confidence interval(CI)0.946-0.988),while the area under the precision-recall curve was 0.961.Based on the optimal cutpoint of 213.55,our nomogram performed well,with a sensitivity of 96%and a specificity of 87%.In the validation cohort,the AUC of the nomogram was as high as 0.991(95%CI 0.970-1.000).Conclusions:We developed a nomogram that can predict the risk of WD prior to the detection of serum ceruloplasmin or urinary copper,greatly increasing screening efficiency for patients with abnormal liver function.

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作者 Jiahui Pang [1] Shuru Chen [1] Weiqiang Gan [1] Guofang Tang [2] Yusheng Jie [1] Zhanyi Li [1] Yutian Chong [1] Youming Chen [1] Jiao Gong [3] Xinhua Li [4] Yongyu Mei [1] 学术成果认领
作者单位 Department of Infectious Diseases,The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou,Guangdong,China [1] Guangzhou Eighth People's Hospital,Guangzhou Medical University,Guangzhou,Guangdong,China [2] Department of Laboratory Medicine,The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou,Guangdong,China [3] Department of Infectious Diseases,The Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University,Guangzhou,Guangdong,China;Department of Infectious Diseases,National Regional Medical Center for Infectious Diseases,Kashgar Hospital Affiliated to Sun Yat-sen University,Kashgar,Xinjiang,China [4]
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发布时间 2023-05-26(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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肝脏研究(英文)

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