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阴离子间隙对冠心病合并糖尿病患者院内死亡率的预测价值:基于MIMIC-IV数据库的回顾性研究

Prognostic value of anion gap for in-hospital mortality in patients with coronary artery disease and diabetes:A ret-rospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database

摘要Background Identifying simple and effective prognostic markers is crucial for risk stratification in critically ill patients with coronary artery disease(CAD)and diabetes mellitus(DM).The anion gap(AG),a marker of acid-base homeostasis,has been associated with mortality in various diseases,but its specific role in this high-risk popu-lation remains unclear.Methods This retrospective cohort study included 4,343 patients from the MIMIC-Ⅳ da-tabase.The exposure variable was the anion gap(AG),which was modeled in three ways:as a continuous variable,as a categorical variable(Low,Middle,and High groups),and as a dichotomous variable using a cutoff of 14.5.The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.Multivariable logistic regression models were used to adjust for poten-tial confounders,including demographics,comorbidities,vital signs,and laboratory parameters.The linearity of the association was assessed using restricted cubic splines(RCS),and the predictive performance of AG was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves.Results The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 12.6%.A strong,dose-response relationship was observed between AG levels and mortality.After full adjustment,compared to the low AG tertile,the high AG tertile was significantly associated with increased mortality risk(OR:1.92,95%CI:1.43-2.58,P<0.0001).AG as a continuous variable remained an independent predictor(OR per unit increase:1.11,95%CI:1.08-1.14,P<0.0001).RCS analysis confirmed a linear association(P for nonlinearity=0.880).In ROC analysis,AG demonstrated superior predictive ability[area under the curve(AUC),AUC=0.6957)]for in-hos-pital mortality compared to sodium(AUC=0.5338),potassium(AUC=0.5),and chloride(AUC=0.6141).Conclu-sions In this cohort of ICU patients with CAD and DM from the MIMIC-Ⅳ database,an elevated anion gap was independently and linearly associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality.AG outperformed other common electrolytes in mortality prediction,highlighting its potential as a valuable and readily available risk stratification tool in this population.[S Chin J Cardiol 2026;27(1):12-23]

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作者 YAO Chu-hua [1] LI Chen-xi [1] ZHANG Yan-mei [1] FANG Yu-bing [1] YANG Qi [1] GAO Pan [1] LONG Han-yan [1] 学术成果认领
作者单位 Department of Cardiac Surgical Intensive Care Unit,Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital(Guangdong Academy of Medi-cal Sciences),Southern Medical University,Guangzhou 510080,China [1]
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DOI 10.3969/j.issn.1009-8933.2026.01.002
发布时间 2026-05-06(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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岭南心血管病杂志(英文版)

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