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Seasonal variation in BMI outcomes at 6 months:secondary analyses of a multidisciplinary healthy lifestyle programme for children and adolescents with obesity

摘要Background While international evidence suggests seasonal variations may influence outcomes of interventions for pediatric obesity,data for Aotearoa New Zealand are limited.We examined seasonal variations in changes in body mass index standard deviation score(BMI SDS)in young people with obesity enrolled in an intervention programme.Methods We studied 397 children and adolescents(median=10.1 years;range 3.7-16.8 years)from Whā nau Pakari,a multidisciplinary community-based healthy lifestyle programme(initially a randomised clinical trial that subsequently transitioned into the regional childhood obesity service).Participants were stratified by season at entry and 6-month BMI SDS changes(Δ)were evaluated.Lifestyle factors were also assessed.Data were analysed using traditional linear models and machine learning(random forest).Results 68%of participants had BMI SDS reductions at 6 months(mean=-0.16 SDS;P<0.0001).Linear models showed seasonal variations in programme effectiveness,with BMI SDS reductions among summer(-0.17 SDS),autumn(-0.19 SDS)and winter(-0.18 SDS)but not among spring entrants.Random forest modelling identified higher baseline BMI SDS and younger age as the most influential predictors of greater 6-month reductions in BMI SDS.Season of entry was more important than any single lifestyle factor;spring entrants exhibited attenuated reductions relative to other seasons.Conclusions The season at programme entry was an important factor associated with intervention effectiveness.Spring entry was associated with attenuated BMI SDS reductions,likely due to the inclusion of the summer holidays within the 6-month intervention.These findings highlight the need for targeted support during such unstructured periods to improve participant outcomes.

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作者 José G.B.Derraik [1] Kima T.Costelloe [2] Cervantée E.K.Wild [2] Lisa E.Wynter [3] Mohammad Shahbaz [4] Paul L.Hofman [4] Yvonne C.Anderson [5] 学术成果认领
作者单位 Department of Paediatrics,Child and Youth Health,Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences,University of Auckland,Auckland,New Zealand;Environmental-Occupational Health Sciences and Non-Communicable Diseases Research Centre,Research Institute for Health Sciences,Chiang Mai University,Chiang Mai,Thailand [1] Department of Paediatrics,Child and Youth Health,Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences,University of Auckland,Auckland,New Zealand [2] Department of Paediatrics,Health New Zealand [3] Liggins Institute,University of Auckland,Auckland,New Zealand [4] Department of Paediatrics,Child and Youth Health,Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences,University of Auckland,Auckland,New Zealand;Curtin Medical School,Faculty of Health Sciences,Curtin University,Kent Street,Bentley,Perth,WA 6102,Australia;The Kids Research Institute Australia,Perth,WA,Australia;Child and Adolescent Community Health,Child and Adolescent Health Service,Perth,WA,Australia [5]
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DOI 10.1007/s12519-025-01016-z
发布时间 2026-03-16(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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世界儿科杂志(英文版)

世界儿科杂志(英文版)

2026年22卷2期

234-246页

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