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Admission blood pressure percentiles and in-hospital mortality in pediatric heart failure:a multicenter retrospective cohort study

摘要Background Pediatric heart failure(PHF)carries a high mortality burden,yet the prognostic value of admission blood pres-sure(BP)remains poorly de? ned,and evidence-based thresholds for risk strati? cation are lacking.Methods This retrospective,multicenter cohort study included 2545 children diagnosed with PHF upon admission across 30 Chinese centers(2013–2022).BP was standardized into age-,sex-,and height-speci? c percentiles.Associations with in-hospital mortality were analyzed using restricted cubic splines(RCS),machine learning covariate selection,and sensitivity analyses,strati? ed by sex,age,and etiology.Results Systolic BP(SBP)percentiles showed a U-shaped association with mortality,with the lowest risk at the 63.8th per-centile.Risk increased below the 57th percentile[adjusted hazard ratio(aHR)=1.86,95%con? dence interval(CI)1.07–3.26]and above the 91st percentile(aHR=1.69,95%CI=0.85–3.33),a relationship primarily driven by infants/toddlers.Diastolic BP(DBP)percentiles showed a linear inverse association,with risk increasing below the 83rd percentile(aHR=1.65,95%CI=1.09–2.50).Sex-strati? ed analyses suggested that girls were more vulnerable to high SBP(≥91st:aHR=3.84,95%CI=1.31–11.20),whereas boys were more susceptible to low DBP(<83rd:aHR=2.21,95%CI=1.16–4.20).Etiology-strati? ed analyses con? rmed consistency across major diagnostic categories(P values for all interactions>0.05).Conclusion This study establishes novel BP percentile thresholds for mortality risk strati? cation in patients with PHF(SBP:57th–91st;DBP:83rd–100th)and provides preliminary evidences for sex-and age-di? erential hemodynamic management,although validation is required.

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作者单位 Department of Cardiology,National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders,Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders,China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders,Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatric Metabolism and Inflammatory Diseases,Key Laboratory of Children's Important Organ Development and Diseases of Chongqing Municipal Health Commission,National Clinical Key Cardiovascular Specialty Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,136 Zhongshan Er Road,Yuzhong District,Chongqing 400014,People's Republic of China;Department of Nutrition and Food Hygiene,School of Public Health,Chongqing Medical University,Chongqing,People's Republic of China [1] Department of Cardiology,National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders,Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders,China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders,Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatric Metabolism and Inflammatory Diseases,Key Laboratory of Children's Important Organ Development and Diseases of Chongqing Municipal Health Commission,National Clinical Key Cardiovascular Specialty Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,136 Zhongshan Er Road,Yuzhong District,Chongqing 400014,People's Republic of China [2] Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University,Henan Children's Hospital,Zhengzhou,People's Republic of China [3] Department of Cardiology,Hunan Children's Hospital,Changsha,People's Republic of China [4] Shanghai Children's Medical Center,School of Medicine,Shanghai Jiao Tong University,Shanghai,People's Republic of China [5] Department of Pediatric,The Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University,Luzhou,People's Republic of China [6] Heart Center,Children's Hospital of Fudan University,Shanghai,People's Republic of China [7] Inner Mongolia People's Hospital,Hohhot,People's Republic of China [8] Department of Pediatrics,Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University,Shenyang,People's Republic of China [9] Pediatric Cardiac Surgery Centre,Fuwai Hospital,National Centre for Cardiovascular Diseases,State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College,Beijing,People's Republic of China [10] Children's Hospital of Hebei,Shijiazhuang,People's Republic of China [11] Department of Cardiology,Children's Hospital,Zhejiang University School of Medicine,National Clinical Research Center for Child Health,Hangzhou,People's Republic of China [12] West China Second Hospital,Sichuan University,Chengdu,People's Republic of China [13] Department of Nutrition and Food Hygiene,School of Public Health,Chongqing Medical University,Chongqing,People's Republic of China;Center for Lipid Research,Key Laboratory of Molecular Biology for Infectious Diseases(Ministry of Education),The Second Affiliated Hospital,Chongqing Medical University,Chongqing 400016,People's Republic of China [14] Heart Center,Qingdao Women and Children's Hospital,Affiliated to Qingdao University,Qingdao 266034,People's Republic of China [15] Department of Cardiology,National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders,Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders,China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders,Chongqing Key Laboratory of Pediatric Metabolism and Inflammatory Diseases,Key Laboratory of Children's Important Organ Development and Diseases of Chongqing Municipal Health Commission,National Clinical Key Cardiovascular Specialty Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,136 Zhongshan Er Road,Yuzhong District,Chongqing 400014,People's Republic of China;Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics,Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University,136 Zhongshan Er Road,Yuzhong District,Chongqing 400014,People's Republic of China [16]
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DOI 10.1007/s12519-026-01031-8
发布时间 2026-06-11(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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