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Global,Regional,and National Burden of Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension from 1990 to 2021 and Projections to 2040:A Systematic Analysis of Incidence,Mortality,and Disability-Adjusted Life Years

摘要Objective Pulmonary arterial hypertension(PAH)poses a growing global health challenge,yet comprehensive epidemiologi-cal data remain limited.This study aims to assess the burden of PAH from 1990 to 2021 and project trends to 2040,addressing critical gaps in incidence,mortality,and disability-adjusted life years(DALYs)across diverse socio-demographic contexts.Methods Using data from the Global Burden of Disease(GBD)2021 study,we analyzed PAH burden across 204 countries and territories,stratified by age,sex,region,and socio-demographic index(SDI).Age-standardized rates(per 100,000 populations)for incidence(ASIR),mortality(ASMR),and DALYs(ASDR)were calculated.Future trends were projected via a Bayesian age-period-cohort(BAPC)model.Results In 2021,there were 43,251(95%uncertainty interval[UI]:34,705,52,441)global incident PAH cases(age stand-ardized incidence rate[ASIR]:0.52).From 1990 to 2021,PAH incidence rose by 85.62%,with the steepest increase in high-middle SDI regions(average annual percentage change[AAPC]:+0.19%).Despite a 48.36%rise in deaths,the age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR)declined annually by 0.84%,reflecting improved management.Central Europe had the highest ASMR(1.06 per 100,000),while low SDI regions showed reduced ASIR(-0.31%AAPC),likely due to underdi-agnosis.PAH caused 642,104 DALYs globally in 2021,with infants(<1 year)bearing the highest DALY rate.Projections indicate 75,000 annual cases by 2040,emphasizing an escalating burden.Conclusion PAH burden is increasing disproportionately in aging populations and high-middle SDI regions,while low SDI areas face underdiagnosis and healthcare disparities.Targeted interventions,equitable resource allocation,and enhanced diagnostic capacity are urgently needed to mitigate future PAH-related morbidity and mortality.

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作者单位 Department of Public Health,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [1] Division of Cardiovascular Surgery,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China;Key Laboratory of Organ Transplantation,Ministry of Education,NHC Key Laboratory of Organ Transplantation,Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences,Wuhan 430030,China [2] Department of Laboratory Medicine,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [3] Division of Cardiovascular Surgery,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [4] Department of Occupational and Environmental Health,School of Public Health,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China;Key Laboratory of Environment and Health,Ministry of Education and Ministry of Environmental Protection,and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health(Incubating),School of Public Health,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [5] Division of Child Healthcare,Department of Pediatrics,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [6] Department of Cardiology,Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University,Wuhan 430060,China [7] Department of Public Health,Tongji Hospital,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China;Department of Occupational and Environmental Health,School of Public Health,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China;Key Laboratory of Environment and Health,Ministry of Education and Ministry of Environmental Protection,and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health(Incubating),School of Public Health,Tongji Medical College,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430030,China [8]
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DOI 10.1007/s11596-025-00108-1
发布时间 2025-12-17(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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当代医学科学(英文)

当代医学科学(英文)

2025年45卷5期

1068-1078页

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