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Effects of population aging on the mortality burden of related cancers in urban and rural areas of China, 2004–2017: a population-based study

摘要Objective: China is a developing country with urban–rural disparities and accelerating population aging. Therefore, quantifying the effects of population aging on the cancer mortality burden is urgently needed. Methods: Using data from China's death surveillance datasets (2004–2017), we decomposed and quantified the effects of population aging and factor variations on cancer mortality rates in urban and rural China during 2004–2017 through a decomposition method. R ratios were used to assess the extent of the mortality decreases attributable to factor variations offsetting the increases attributable to population aging for 4 aging-related cancers (lung, colorectal, esophageal, and stomach cancer). Results: Overall, population aging has led to continued increases in cancer mortality rates in China during 2004–2017 (mortality rates attributable to population aging: 8.63/100,000 for urban men, 4.21/100,000 for urban women, 11.95/100,000 for rural men, and 5.66/100,000 for rural women). The 4 cancers displayed 3 patterns. The mortality rates from lung cancer in rural China and from colorectal cancer nationwide increased because of both population aging and factor variations. Population aging was primarily responsible for the growing mortality due to lung cancer in urban areas. However, for esophageal and stomach cancer, the effect of population aging was not dominant, thus resulting in decreases in mortality rates. Conclusions: Health resource allocation should prioritize areas or cancers more adversely affected by population aging. The burden of cancer will continue to increase in the future, because of rapid population aging, but can still be offset or even reversed with enhanced cancer control and prevention.

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作者 Yali Chen [1] Cuihong Yang [1] Ning Li [1] Zixing Wang [1] Peng Wu [1] Jin Du [1] Jingmei Jiang [1] 学术成果认领
作者单位 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics,Institute of Basic Medical Sciences,Chinese Academy of Medical Science/School of Basic Medicine,Peking Union Medical College,Beijing 100005,China [1]
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DOI 10.20892/j.issn.2095-3941.2021.0538
发布时间 2023-02-06(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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癌症生物学与医学(英文版)

癌症生物学与医学(英文版)

2022年19卷5期

696-706页

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